Tabell’s Market Letter – April 01, 1960
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Walston &- Co. '';';';;;';;Inc Members Ne, York Stock Exchange NEW YORK SAN FRANCISCO LOS ANGELES PHILADELPHIA OFFICES COAST TO COAST AND OVERSEAS CHICAGO TABEll'S MARKET lETTER April 1, 1960 There have been many forecasts concerning the shape of the economy m the 1960's. One cynic has said that, if we are to believe what the stock market is telling us about the next decade, it will be one in which everybody spends their working life pushmg buttons on computers, quitting at 3 o'clock, going boating, taking pictures, and bowling in the evening. While thIS mayor may not be the trend of the economy, it is certainly a fairly accurate description of how the stock market has been acting in recent months. While the electronics, super-growth, and leisure tim issues – the perfoThfan'ce'Oftherest offlie' many old- line favorites, has been rather desultory. Recent study of relative strength charts shows that the following groups are all acting worse than the market as a whole Aircraft manufacturing, air transport, aluminum, auto, chemical, copper, drug, industrial machinery, international oil, paper, and steel. This type of action is of a special sigmficance when it is realized that, included in the above categories, are most of the classic growth stocks which have tended to outperform the market ever since 1949 and which constitute the backbone of most investment portfolios, both in- dividual and mstitutional. If the shift in investor preference which has become marked in recent months continues, most investment portfolios WIll have to be drastically revised if below average results are not to be expected. Beside the electronics and leisure time companies, another group of stocks has also tended to act better than the classic favorites in recent months. This includes a number of more solidly based, if less spectacular ai3 grocery chains, variety chains, soft drinks, meat packers, tin fo ,OWcos nd utilIties. An attempt to demonstrate the possIble reason s pr ence was made in our letter of February 19, 1960 which compare Pi. erica acco and Union Carbide. In th,S letter it was pointed out t e' 1954-1959, while AinerfcanTobacco's 0 -u – – – .fas- Union Carbide' fl, its had risen only half as much. The ft y liP e favorite fifty ,therefore, may well indicate that pric – a a companies have already be- are seeking sec it w' I od growth prospects, which are available on a cheaper basis I e ti to nings. ThIS lette h ,recently, tried to point up securities in thIS category. Two weeks ago we gested the attractiveness of the grocery chains. Leading equities in this group are available at 16-17 times earmngs, despite the fact that earnings of many companies have increased at ratios from 10 to 20 annually over the past ten years and this growth can be expected to continue. Ferro Corporation, which has been on our recommended 11st for some time, is available at only 8-9 times estimated 1960 earnines, yet not only is the company's basic business, porcelain fnt, growing as the architectural shift to curtain wall construction continues, but it IS also the largest supplier of molded fiberglass to the boating industry. Other stocks could also be mentioned. Soft drink companies are still selling at ratios which seemingly ignore the fast expanding teen-age market of the next decade; yari !ty chail1. be mherent in store modernizatlOn programs and expanding foreign markets; utilities have done little marketwise recently although the growth trend many companies have shown is expected to continue. In short, the 1960's may well be a decade in which growth will turn up in hitherto unexpected places. The successful investor will be the one who foresees these areas of growth and who purchases stocks in a position to participate therein at bargain basement prices. EDMUND W. TAB ELL Dow-Jones Ind. 615.98 WALSTON & CO. INC. Dow-Jones Rails 143.43 AIN't. dIllb .' This market letter IS not, and under no circumstances IS to be Rb, an offer to sell or a to buy any 'lecurltLes referred to herem The mformatlOn hereHI. is not y;uarnnte(';d as to aeeUl'acy or completeness and the urrnshlny; thereof IS not, and under no cIrcumstances s to be construed as, a representa- tJ(n by Walston & Co, Inc All c.prCSS(fnl of opInlOn arc subJect to change \\oithout notIce Walston & Get. Inc, nnd Offl('Crs, Director'!. Swckholr3ers and Empnyec'l thereof purl!hase sell nor mny have an mtere!t in the Re.urities mentIoned hereIn. ThIS m.o.rket letter lS mtended and presented met ely as n general, mformal on day to d.lY marcet news not as a complete- anabsls AddJbonal lllformatton re5pect to any referred to herem furm'lhed upon reque.t ….. ….– NLi.,.acro,,,. A, .ii,, ,J -1